The Respond of Sovereign CDS Market to Macroeconomics Indicators in Crisis and Non-Crisis
Post by MSF Chula at Tuesday, 8 August 2017 10:35 AM

The respond of domestic and the spillover effect of macroeconomics indicators from the major economies, U.S., Eurozone and China, on sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spread and volatility have been examined on seventeen countries over both financial instability and normal period from January 2008 to December 2015. The paper found that the better than expected announcement tends to reduce the CDS spreads, while the worse than expected one exhibits the opposite effect over both normal and crisis period. The announcement from three major economies has stronger spillover effect on other sovereign CDS market in the financial turmoil comparing to the normal period. The reaction on the volatility from both domestic and major countries is consistent with the expectation that better than expected announcement is likely to reduce the level of volatility, while the worse than expected one show the opposite effect over both normal and crisis period. Similar to CDS spread respond, the volatility tends to be more sensitive from both good and bad news in crisis.

Last updated at Tuesday, 8 August 2017 10:35 AM